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            Free, publicly-accessible full text available June 29, 2026
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            Time series forecasting is an important application in various domains such as energy management, traffic planning, financial markets, meteorology, and medicine. However, real-time series data often present intricate temporal variability and sharp fluctuations, which pose significant challenges for time series forecasting. Previous models that rely on 1D time series representations usually struggle with complex temporal variations. To address the limitations of 1D time series, this study introduces the Times2D method that transforms the 1D time series into 2D space. Times2D consists of three main parts: first, a Periodic Decomposition Block (PDB) that captures temporal variations within a period and between the same periods by converting the time series into a 2D tensor in the frequency domain. Second, the First and Second Derivative Heatmaps (FSDH) capture sharp changes and turning points, respectively. Finally, an Aggregation Forecasting Block (AFB) integrates the output tensors from PDB and FSDH for accurate forecasting. This 2D transformation enables the utilization of 2D convolutional operations to effectively capture long and short characteristics of the time series. Comprehensive experimental results across large-scale data in the literature demonstrate that the proposed Times2D model achieves state-of-the-art performance in both short-term and long-term forecasting.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available April 11, 2026
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            A composite detection technique against stealthy data manipulations is developed in this paper for distribution networks that are low observable. Attack detection strategies typically rely on state estimation which becomes challenging when limited measurements are available. In this paper, a modified matrix completion approach provides estimates of the system state and its error variances for the locations in the network where measurements are unavailable. Using the error statistics and their corresponding state estimates, bad data detection can be carried out using the chi-squared test. The proposed approach employs a moving target defence strategy (MTD) where the network parameters are perturbed through distributed flexible AC transmission system (D-FACTS) devices such that stealthy data manipulation attacks can be exposed in the form of bad data. Thus, the bad data detection approach developed in this paper can detect stealthy attacks using the MTD strategy. This technique is implemented on 37-bus and 123-bus three-phase unbalanced distribution networks to demonstrate the attack detection accuracy even for a low observable system.more » « less
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